pga expert picks: sleepers

A T21 at home followed two weeks later. He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. Few players have been steadier over the past two months, with no finishes outside of the top 30 in his past eight starts including a runner-up finish at Quail Hollow and a fifth at Innisbrook in his past two starts. McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational and has tabbed several longshots, including two who come in well over 80-1. For his part, defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy says that no-cut events are nothing new on the PGA Tour. He hit another 25-1 shot at the Houston Open, taking Tony Finau to win. Garrick Higgo (+220 for a Top 20) The Honda Classic celebrated its 50th anniversary last year but without a lefty among its list of champions; well, unless you approve Blaine McCallister's putting stroke that set what was then the tournament record of 22-under 266 at TPC Eagle Trace in 1989. You can reach out to him about any of these topics his stories, his game or his beers at [email protected]. All three of these golfers provide the upside that can be found in the $10k range, at a price and ownership discount (excluding Cantlay's ownership). OK, lets continue. Zalatoris figures to be one of the more popular plays this week, given his success on difficult courses. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Hes fresh off a spirited run of performances on the Asian Tour, including his first victory on the circuit two weeks ago. Hes followed by Rory McIlroy at 9.09%. At just over 7,200 yards, the course is average by PGA Tour standards and doesnt favor the longer or shorter hitters. Lee, +22,500. Sometimes these guys need a little tweak in their routine to focus them in. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. GOLF.COM may earn a fee. 14. These elevated events just keep elevating. Does his best work with his putter. Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. ). Whether youre betting on designated tournaments, match play events, or majors, theres something for everyone. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. Ian McNeill's free PGA betting picks. Five of those were victories, including his last outing at the Genesis Invitational. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). We would appreciate your support by either turning off your adblocker or signing up for our ad-free subscription tier.Thanks for being a reader! Sign up for ESPN+ now to catch 12 hours of exclusive coverage of the first and second rounds, early weekend coverage, featured groups and much, much more from the 2021 PGA Championship at Kiawah Island. I went back and forth between going all in on Finau or Max Homa but ultimately went with Finau on a coin-flip decision. In addition to major championship betting, BetMGM has updated odds for dozens of other tournaments each year. Another thing to keep in mind is the last six winners of the event all had at least one top-15 finish at a prior Arnold Palmer Invitational. Don't have an account? And when I looked at the 2012 leaderboard and saw three Englishmen in the top six (and Rory McIlroy from Northern Ireland winning), this pick began to look really good to me. This article is going to take a look at showdown slates after each completed round. My top 10 was: Xander Schauffele, Cantlay, McIlroy, Tony Finau, Shane Lowry, Kim, Hideki Matsuyama, Im, Max Homa and Scottie Scheffler. Jordan Spieth is back to doing Jordan Spieth things, and it feels like this is finally his time to complete the career grand slam. A proud graduate of the University of Missouri, John's passion is hockey but he excels at multiple DFS sports. Growing up a few miles from Riviera, its no surprise Homa is very comfortable at the course. Now, McClure has dialed in on the 2023 Honda Classic golf tournament, and just locked in his one and done picks and PGA predictions. Rikuya Hoshino(+333 for a Top 40) The five-time winner on the Japan Golf Tour is comin in hot. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions Patrick Cantlay Outright Win +2000 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. Power has had some very strong finishes this year, including a top 10 at the recent PGA Championship. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. Hes fresh off a spirited run of performances on the Asian Tour, including his first victory on the circuit two weeks ago. By our count, 44 of the world's top-50 players will make the trip to Orlando - including all 13 winners of PGA TOUR events so far this term. While every player in the field can most likely drive the green, it is very small and surrounded by multiple deep bunkers. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks Honda Classic, they are back this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational from Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge just outside Orlando. He also has eight straight top-10 finishes in events worldwide. There really is just no winning with Rahm it seems. Shane Lowryis the first Irishman we look to roster heavily as he has a fantastic around-the-green game and is comfortable in the wind. Big whoop. Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players 5. Last year this week, Sepp Straka was a Sleeper at +400 for a Top 20. Sleeper pick: Garrick Higgo, +14,000. Its been exactly one year since his last victory and he just turned 26. End of the Season Totals: @rotoballer @BettorGolfPod 2017 +54.26 Units2018 +55.88 Units2019 +27.743 Units2020 + 37.015 Units2021 + 68.846 Units2022 +67.485 UnitsTotal Winnings: +311.229 UnitsTotal Outright Wins Since 2017: 36 H2H Totals Inside Thread https://t.co/pNQrSK1rFE. Zach Johnson None of the 46-year-olds 12 PGA TOUR victories were in Florida, and hes done more damage on other sites in the state than PGA National, but he still deserves attention as a potential threat in matchup scenarios. Excludes Michigan Disassociated Persons. Hes second on Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and is one of the best/craftiest players around the greens, too. PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills Lifestyle PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills By: Nick Piastowski May. This is way down the odds board, but Bezuidenhout has thrived on Bermuda greens and has finished in the top 20 at this event each of the last three years. Bio Kim(+400 for a Top 40) If the name rings a bell, its probably because youve been an avid PGA TOUR fan long enough to remember when he was the youngest member at the age of 20 in 2011. Whether youre seeking Honda Classic odds in February, Travelers Championship betting in June, or 3M Open odds in July, you can find everything at the sportsbook. 21 years of age or older to wager. So there's precedent there for no-cut events. The affable personality is a short-lister for sponsor exemptions, when necessary, and theyll come in handy playing on conditional status, but the pressure is eased at 109th in the FedExCup. 40 and 43, respectively. If the wind picks up, the scores wont be as good. Responsible sports betting starts with a game plan. Collin Morikawa holds the Wanamaker Trophy after winning last year's PGA Championship. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, May 17, 2022. Highest-Owned Golfers. Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! The 2019 Open Champion has proven he can compete in windy conditions. The No. Please Gamble Responsibly. Aaron Baddeley intrigues me as his short game is really impressive and a few long puts or chip-ins can grab him a bunch of points. In this space last August, we picked Morikawa to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy, and, if you ask me, it was impressive as Morikawas drive-the-green tee shot on 16 at Harding Park. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. The Spaniard also leads in greens in regulation percentage (75.7%) and strokes gained total. The message was that he's balanced and playing well upon arrival. With three wins and a runner-up in a span of six weeks late in 2021, he was the Order of Merit leader on the All Thailand Golf Tour. For live odds, visit BetMGM. Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. Sleeper pick: Shane Lowry, +10,000. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Once again, Im relying heavily on my Fantasy National model. 18 Sungjae Im, No. Horschel is one of the streakiest players on the PGA Tour, as when hes on top of his game, he can compete with anyone. Kickoff is Saturday at 7 p.m. Hes followed by Scottie Scheffler at 9.09% and then Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele at 5.58%. He won a major last year, but his game has shown a lot of cracks. Sleeper pick: Cameron Tringale, +11,000. The Aussie has had some great performances on tough golf courses this year (T8 at the Genesis, a win at the Honda). , followed by my betting card for the week. 19+ in Ontario. Hes made nine of 10 cuts at this tournament, including two top 10s. Theegala burst onto the scene a year ago at this event with a T-3 in his tournament debut. With that being said, he has struggled historically with Bermuda greens. There are three players in the top 20 of the Official World Golf Rankings - No. ?Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! As for props, McIlroy has been on fire of late, and Harman came out 14th in my model, providing solid value. In four events in the 2023 calendar year, his worst finish is T-16 at the American Express. Now just three months from his 32nd birthday, the native of Seoul, South Korea, is making his PGA Championship debut as the fifth-best golfer from his homeland (at 115th in the Official World Golf Ranking). High-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 3. 1. Round 2 Strategy. The $20 million purse has brought out the best, with major champions like Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Jordan Spieth and Matt Fitzpatrick among the many stars. He owns two wins and two top 10s in his past four starts on the European Tour, and it wouldnt surprise me in the least if he keeps up his hot streak on U.S. soil. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? The winning score at the event over the last seven years has been between -11 and -19. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. , followed by my betting card for the week. Over the last three years, Max Homa has developed into a force at weekly PGA TOUR events. Hovland has the pedigree to win at least a couple of majors during his career. In his second start of 2022, he prevailed at the SMBC Singapore Open and finished second on the Asian Tours OOM (behind Joohyung (Tom) Kim, who finished T17 at last weeks AT&T Byron Nelson after appearing as a Sleeper at +550 for a Top 20). His happy-go-lucky attitude may also work well at the Ocean Course, where being able to roll with the punches can be invaluable. Here are a few tips. Performance always is relative, but no one has a better scoring average on the JGTO. Hes also in decent form coming off a T6 at the Wells Fargo and a T8 at the Masters over his past three events (although he did miss the cut at the Valspar). Additionally, since 2015, every winner at the event has been a major champion or won The Players Championship. FedEx St. Jude Championship picks 2022: Sleepers/Dark Horses we like Caddie: Scott Stallings (130-1, DraftKings) Scott might be the hottest golfer not named Rory without a win right now. 1 Jon Rahm and the other two men who held that spot in February Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy headline the 120-player Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field. Bring on major victory No. Dean Burmester(+275 for a Top 40) The very recent winner of the PGA Championship OK, so it was the tournament of the same name on the Sunshine Tour in November, but its not wrong and no one ever can take it away from him the 32-year-old representing South Africa has eight wins on his home circuit. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. This new app will help, Fortinet Championship odds: Two stars lead favorites at PGA Tour season opener, Tour Championship odds: Scottie Scheffler favored to win fifth title of the season, BMW Championship odds: Rory McIlroy still the betting favorite despite missed cut, FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Rory McIlroy leads betting favorites for playoff opener. This PGA is particularly interesting because none of the front runners come in without some extra baggage. Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Pricing may vary. His stats from this season wont jump off the page, but hes played well lately (T28 or better in his past four, including a win) and should have a good chance this week. On to the picks. PGA Tour golfers aren't the only ones who can make some starting next Thursday. Tommy Fleetwoodshot level par today, but hopefully, he can bounce back tomorrow after making a triple-bogey in R2. The West Coast Swing on the PGA Tour will conclude this week, and it may have saved the best for last. He even had his own Tiger Woods-like, boulder-moving experience at the Commercial Bank Qatar Masters in late March. None of those four players were inside the top 10 of my model, although Fitzpatrick was No. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. I just cant imagine anyone having a better chance than Rory this week. Sleeper pick: Rickie Fowler, +17,500. Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. Lee, the man who barely missed a shot all last week, at 225-to-1??? Gambling problem? He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com, Helps Nets To Big Comeback Victory With 38 Points, Scores Career-High 41 Points Against Portland, Keeps Point Streak Going With Two Assists, Jessie Bates III Not Expected Back In Cincinnati, No Movement On Leighton Vander Esch Talks, Browns Could Restructure Deshaun Watson's Contract, Cowboys Plan To Use Franchise Tag On Tony Pollard, Giants, Daniel Jones Making Progress In Talks, Jets Could Take A Quarterback In The Draft, Raiders Plan To Use Franchise Tag On Josh Jacobs, Yandy Diaz Likely Sidelined Into Next Week, A.J. It's always a high-class field that meets at Bay Hill for the Arnie P, and 2023 - with it's newly-minted elevated status - is no different. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. Keep it social. He's an excellent ball striker, so if the wind picks up, that could be in his favor. Last week's PGA TOUR golf sleepers article successfully identified James Hahn as a high . Not only is he fresh off a victory at Quail Hollow, hes a former champion at this very venue, and the ultra-long course seems like it will suit him even better (if thats even possible) this time around. Josh Bennett - Rory McIlroy 4. an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play, 7 things you MUST know to make money on golf betting, Four experts on how to bet on PGA Tour golf like a professional gambler. Since Flag Hunting formed at the start of the 2021-22 season, I've cashed a total of 14 outright tickets in 58 events (a nearly 25% hit rate) and profited nearly $12,000 from betting just $350 . Garrick Higgo might not be a familiar name to American fans, but the South African has been one of the hottest golfers in the world this spring. PGA odds are always available at the online sportsbook. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. See the full Puerto Rico Open 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.. Nate Lashley 16-1 Ben Martin 20-1 Brandon Harkins 22-1 Mega chalk: A popular player who played well yesterday. Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, What it's like playing the new Fields Ranch East (a likely future Ryder Cup venue), Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) Jon Rahm sits at the top of the leaderboard once >record scratch< . he actually played really badly today for the first time in what feels like eternity and those of us who played Rory instead of Rahm (30% of us - woof) finally reaped the rewardskinda. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. It includes pre-event rankings, round-specific scoring averages, birdie percentages, weighted approach ratings, and ownership projections for tomorrow's showdown slate. His ability to scramble and avoid bogeys will be a major key to how well he does. Does his best work with his putter. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). McIlroy said: "If you think of like the four WGC's, you've got the three playoffs events, you've got the CJ Cup, the Zozo. A golfer's guide to making amazing old fashioneds, Love transfusion cocktails? Hes a perfect sleeper this week! How do LIV Golfs TV ratings really compare to the PGA Tour? Hes been no worse than T13 in his past four major starts. At 7,322 yards, its not an overly long course, but its known for its narrow fairways and tight doglegs. The afternoon played about half a shot more difficult despite experiencing "significantly more wind" than the AM wave. Weve come a long way with Rickie that hes now considered a long shot. McDonald nailed the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice. Mark Hubbard (+350 for a Top 20) You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. This will be Woods first official PGA Tour event since the 2022 Open Championship. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. I like a gritty player with a strong short game to win this week, so Patrick Reed immediately grabs my attention. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with an 11.11% implied probability. Before making any 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Is Brooks Koepka fully healthy? The 28-year-old ranks ninth in strokes gained putting and 22nd around the green, both weak points last season. Arnold Palmer Invitational Model Picks: Top 5, Top 10, Top 20, Top 40. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with a 9.52% implied probability. It is a designated event, which means a star-studded field, including world No. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. He finished eighth at the Players and T9 at the RBC Heritage, so Im eager to see how his game will play at Kiawah this week. Hes also gone 10 straight events worldwide without finishing lower than T-8. Whether youre a new bettor browsing futures odds for The Masters, a casual fan betting on Rory McIlroy to finish in the top five, a longtime diehard breaking down weather trends in Hawaii, theres something for everyone. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. 19+ in Ontario. You can view live odds from the first round through the final round. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York. Theres no question Rahm is the hottest player in the field, with. Thats not a bad combination for success on an Ocean Course that typically sees high winds and unpredictable conditions. Stop at mega chalk and go when we see leverage that makes sense. Before locking in your 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational one and done picks, you need to see what SportsLine DFS pro and PGA expert Mike McClure has to say. One shocking pick from McDonald: He is fading Thomas in his first appearance at Bay Hill since 2015. Players who play well at this event typically replicate it year after year. He finished inside the top 10 at this event three of the last four years. Set a budget. McClure has nailed plenty of One and Done picks, including Luke List at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. playing a difficult but fair golf course. The wind is going to get significantly stronger as the day goes on, with potential for two scenarios. Going into the tournament, Jon Rahm has the best odds to win at +750. Top 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational expert picks One shocking pick from McDonald: He is fading Thomas in his first appearance at Bay Hill since 2015. Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Farmers Insurance Open Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo breaks down the 2022 Farmers Insurance Open, making his picks and rankings for the event while previewing the course and key stats. Now covering the sport from a broader perspective, McDonald still likes to dip his toes into the betting pools on a weekly basis on the PGA Tour. Probably not! The 33-year-old has played well at this event, logging two runner-up finishes (2018 and 2021). The events winner has typically come from the second tier on the odds board, as long shots havent had much success. But, to score well, players must be on top of their ball striking and scramble well to avoid bogeys. , but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. To-win: Brooks Koepka, +5,000. The very recent winner of the PGA Championship OK, so it was the tournament of the same name on the Sunshine Tour in November, but its not wrong and no one ever can take it away from him the 32-year-old representing South Africa has eight wins on his home circuit. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. One hole has him in T41 vs T13 had he made par there. But, as of Tuesday, winds are forecasted to be light. FanDuel Strategy Nuances (PGA DFS) 2. Sleeper pick: Joel Dahmen, +35,000. His third at the RSM Classic, at Sea Island, last fall proved hes comfortable on breezy oceanside courses. CLICK HERE to learn more at HaveAGamePlan.org. Mid-Priced FanDuel DFS Plays 4. Rahm will want to hang on to the No. 5! Going into Round 3 . With three wins and a runner-up in a span of six weeks late in 2021, he was the Order of Merit leader on the All Thailand Golf Tour. About; Careers . Tony FinauandWill Zalatorisboth sit a little further down the leaderboard, particularly Will, but both have sensational R3 scoring averages very close to Scottie's, which we are hoping to capitalize on tomorrow. These are the golfers I am gravitating towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership. Golf DFS News and Player. 20 Shane Lowry - and eight in the top 50. Sleeper pick: Matt Jones, +17,500. And so was Jessica Marksbury. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms and Conditions and other state-specific responsible gaming resources. The PGA Championship is a completely different beast, but I have a weird feeling hes going to contend in his first major. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (DC, IL, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, WV, WY, VA), Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Jon Rahmhad a bit of a meltdown today on his second nine, but we can expect the Spaniard to return to the form he has displayed so consistently throughout the season. Genesis Invitational Betting Card & Other Predictions, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. Joe Nicely - Max Homa 3. Promotional offers not available in Nevada and New York. He shot -2 today and will look to carry that momentum into the weekend. One of these golfers will score close to 40 points, giving our lineups a boost and freeing up salary to load up a few more reliable, higher-upside studs at the top of the slate. It's a smaller PGA Tour field this week, but it's a much larger purse and the field is stacked with stars for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential Genesis Invitational Longshot Picks. The major breakthrough happens this week. At the Farmers Insurance Open, McClure's top One and Done pick, Max Homa, outlasted the . McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. already this season, including two designated events. He popped for a solo third in Mississippi in the fall and has added a pair of top 20s in the last four weeks. All promotions are subject to eligibility requirements. Sadom Kaewkanjana(+550 for a Top 40) Youre familiar with his fellow countrymen, Jazz Janewattananond and PGA TOUR member Kiradech Aphibarnrat, but this 23-year-old currently is Thailands top talent at 118th in the Official World Golf Ranking. New Customer Offer (if applicable). McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the WM Phoenix Open, but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. Jon Rahm is predicted to win WM Phoenix Open with an 11.76% implied probability, according to betting markets. No time for WM Phoenix Open hangovers, the PGA TOUR continues full throttle to the 2023 Genesis Invitational at iconic Riviera Country Club. Since 2020, he has 17 top-10 finishes, and 12 of them would be on difficult courses. World No. If the name rings a bell, its probably because youve been an avid PGA TOUR fan long enough to remember when he was the youngest member at the age of 20 in 2011. My DFS style is very ownership-centric, and more often than not, this can make you feel like an unsuccessful DFS player, but every now and then when a sneaky, low-owned golfer comes through for you, it is all worth it.

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